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Gartner says cheaper open AI models can do nine in ten AI agent steps. CFOs sign the contracts that price each step.

Two Gartner analysts, Mark Petty and Raymond Paquet, wrote that most agent steps are routine work such as classifying, checking and reconciling data, The Register reported on 3 November.

ERP LEADERS news desk · · First reported by The Register · Edition no. 58
Photo: Coolcaesar/Wikimedia, CC BY-SA 3.0 · original

Open-weight models, which a company can run itself, handle those steps at a quarter of the price of the cheapest closed model, they wrote, and at as little as a twentieth of a frontier model used on every step.

The analysts call those best-case numbers. Open models retry more often, so against a frontier model the saving per task is closer to five or six times, they wrote.

Gartner's planning assumption: by 2030, 90% of company operational agent workflow steps will run on open-weight models. The analysts say the bigger reason is control, since each routine step sent to an outside model sends company data with it.

Our reading for CFOs: the budget question moves from which model to buy to which steps need the expensive one. A contract priced per step on a frontier model, with no right to send routine work elsewhere, pays the top rate for the routine nine in ten.

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Companies in this story

Our file on Gartner

  1. 2 Nov

    Gartner found AI drove staff cuts at 47% of surveyed supply chains, averaging 10.5%. Supply chain managers run the smaller teams.

  2. 25 Oct

    AWS announced $1 billion for engineers who build AI inside client firms. Gartner advises clients to plan the exit before they arrive.

  3. 25 Oct

    Forrester sees AI taking 20% of tech spend in 2027. Just 22% of those it polled saw AI lift EBITDA.

  4. 22 Oct

    Microsoft added new controls for European cloud customers. A Gartner analyst said he "would not call this complete control."

  5. 22 Oct

    In a Gartner survey, 44% of CEOs said they struggle to prove AI pays off. Most plan bigger technology budgets.

All 13 Gartner stories

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