Gartner says a third of AI job cuts will reverse. Rehiring costs more.
Gartner forecast on Wednesday that by 2029, 30% of the employees laid off because AI replaced them will have to be hired back, often at a significantly higher cost.
CIO puts the rate inside enterprises higher, at 40%.
Tori Paulman, VP Analyst at Gartner, said executives "who use AI primarily as a tool for cost cutting risk making reductions that are too deep and too soon."
Two other datasets in the same CIO report point the same way. Forrester found 55% of businesses regret AI-driven cuts, and Robert Half found one in three hiring executives has already rehired after an AI layoff.
Mike Wilkes, enterprise CISO at Aikido Security, told CIO: "If 30% of AI-driven layoffs must be reversed, that is an enormous error rate for a strategic workforce decision."
CIO also reports more than half of enterprise clients have been handed a cost-reduction mandate. Headcount is the line those mandates can see.
Which line is your AI business case sitting on, and what happens when a third of the roles come back?
Sources
Our file on Gartner
- 4 Nov
Gartner says cheaper open AI models can do nine in ten AI agent steps. CFOs sign the contracts that price each step.
- 2 Nov
Gartner found AI drove staff cuts at 47% of surveyed supply chains, averaging 10.5%. Supply chain managers run the smaller teams.
- 25 Oct
AWS announced $1 billion for engineers who build AI inside client firms. Gartner advises clients to plan the exit before they arrive.
- 25 Oct
Forrester sees AI taking 20% of tech spend in 2027. Just 22% of those it polled saw AI lift EBITDA.
- 22 Oct
Microsoft added new controls for European cloud customers. A Gartner analyst said he "would not call this complete control."
For your next steering committee
- 1Ask your integrator to name the people on your programme and to confirm which of them are staying.
- 2Ask what the contract says about replacing key people, and who approves a replacement.
- 3Ask where knowledge of your configuration is written down, outside the heads of the people who built it.
Issue 01 of the ERP LEADERS brief puts a timeline, the three-number review and six questions on one page. Read issue 01
Welcome back. · Issue 01



